"FC Porto is favored to win against Arouca with a probability of 67%, supported by their recent form of winning 3 out of their last 5 matches. The home advantage, combined with the tactical acumen of coach José Fernando Ferreirinha Tavares, enhances their prospects, especially given Arouca's lower probability of 12% for an away win. Arouca's recent transfers and lower player ratings indicate potential weaknesses that FC Porto can exploit, making this matchup heavily tilted in favor of the home side."