"In the upcoming match between Alaves and Villarreal, the statistical model indicates a slight edge for Villarreal, with probabilities of 34% for Alaves to win, 29% for a draw, and 37% for Villarreal to secure the victory. Alaves currently sits at 16th in the league, while Villarreal is positioned 4th, highlighting the disparity in form and standings, which contributes to Villarreal's higher probability of winning. Key factors influencing the match include the expected heavy rain, which could impact play style and performance, potentially favoring a more defensive approach from Alaves. Both teams have motivation to perform well, but Villarreal's stronger squad depth, featuring players like Dani Parejo and Gerard Moreno, may prove decisive in overcoming Alaves at Mendizorroza."